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Mercantile Exchange Blog |
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Dec 19 2012 |
| Support & Resistance Levels! |
A support level is a price level where a significant buying pressure appears to keep prices from further falling. As the price tends to decline towards the support and gets low-priced, buyers become more tempted to buy and sellers to sell. While the price reaches the support level, it is assumed that demand will surpass supply and avoid the price from falling below support.
A resistance level is a price level where a significant selling pressure appears to keep prices from further rising. As the price progresses towards resistance level, sellers become more tempted to sell and buyers to buy. While the price approaches the resistance level, it is assumed that supply will surpass demand and avoid the price from rising above resistance.
An important principle of technical analysis suggests that support can turn itself into resistance and vice versa. We may be surprised to know how it happens: once the price plunges below a support level, the broken support level can turn into resistance and similarly, the other side of the coin is price hiking above a resistance level and turning itself into support. Now, because technical analysis is not an exact science, it is sometimes very essential to create support and resistance zones rather than just the levels. At times, exact support and resistance levels are best, and there are also instances when zones work better than the just the levels. If the trading duration is less than 2 months and the price range is relatively taut, then the exact support and resistance levels are best suited but if a trading duration is in months and the price range is relatively fat, then support and resistance zones suit the most.


Fig 1: Support & Resistance Levels
Interpretation:
For the shorter span of trade, when the price of a commodity falls continuously and breaks the support level, then selling will be very profitable as it will take ample time to revert the whole trend and in the trade duration of more than two months, staying at the support zone will be profitable. Likewise, when the price of a commodity is sky-rocketing and crosses the resistance level, buying can give profits as the trend will be rising prices then; and in the longer span trade, like above, staying in the resistance zone can earn you profits. But, one very important thing to be noted is that - you cannot only depend upon the formula of the resistance and support levels; you should also follow the trend the commodity is following for remaining on the safe side.
Note: This blog is just an expression of the author’s opinion and cannot be deemed responsible for any losses incurred.
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| Posted by at 12:31:11 PM |
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