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Mercantile Exchange Blog |
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Nov 26 2012 |
| Seasonal Price Index: An Effective Tool for Analysis - Part II |
Procedure
2. Calculation of Seasonal Price Index
|
|
Jan |
Feb |
Mar |
Apr |
May |
Jun |
Jul |
Aug |
Sep |
Oct |
Nov |
Dec |
|
2000 |
148.26 |
132.05 |
114.67 |
101.93 |
107.72 |
97.30 |
86.87 |
82.24 |
90.35 |
83.40 |
77.61 |
77.61 |
|
2001 |
84.09 |
92.00 |
113.77 |
123.66 |
119.70 |
123.66 |
110.80 |
106.84 |
94.97 |
86.07 |
76.17 |
68.26 |
|
2002 |
147.97 |
139.84 |
121.95 |
117.07 |
97.56 |
87.80 |
89.43 |
95.93 |
91.06 |
74.80 |
71.54 |
65.04 |
|
2003 |
105.60 |
96.00 |
80.64 |
72.96 |
76.80 |
96.00 |
111.36 |
107.52 |
117.12 |
117.12 |
107.52 |
111.36 |
|
2004 |
114.22 |
123.85 |
118.35 |
103.21 |
93.58 |
94.95 |
83.94 |
83.94 |
93.58 |
89.45 |
96.33 |
104.59 |
|
2005 |
108.38 |
99.24 |
100.54 |
96.63 |
91.40 |
87.49 |
90.10 |
88.79 |
86.18 |
112.30 |
127.97 |
110.99 |
|
2006 |
88.66 |
89.69 |
93.81 |
106.19 |
127.84 |
107.22 |
101.03 |
79.38 |
76.29 |
116.49 |
103.09 |
110.31 |
|
2007 |
91.07 |
94.29 |
93.49 |
96.71 |
104.77 |
103.96 |
108.80 |
83.81 |
78.98 |
108.80 |
116.86 |
118.47 |
|
2008 |
116.67 |
120.00 |
117.50 |
102.50 |
95.00 |
89.17 |
89.17 |
123.33 |
116.67 |
80.83 |
75.00 |
74.17 |
|
2009 |
97.70 |
95.40 |
89.66 |
95.40 |
100.00 |
96.55 |
101.15 |
113.79 |
111.49 |
102.30 |
96.55 |
100.00 |
|
2010 |
97.36 |
99.62 |
101.89 |
107.55 |
106.42 |
103.02 |
100.75 |
97.36 |
99.62 |
93.96 |
100.75 |
91.70 |
|
2011 |
100.82 |
93.15 |
111.78 |
106.30 |
106.30 |
101.92 |
104.11 |
95.34 |
96.44 |
94.25 |
93.15 |
96.44 |
|
Index |
108.40 |
106.26 |
104.84 |
102.51 |
102.26 |
99.09 |
98.13 |
96.52 |
96.06 |
96.65 |
95.21 |
94.08 |
Note: The figures above are random and do not depict a particular commodity.
From the two tables above, the price pattern of the commodity in the seasons can be known and thus we can decide the profitable deal for ourselves. While trading of commodity for speculation purpose, it would be beneficial for us to take the sell position when the price is higher and take buy position when lower.
Note: The blog is just an expression of the author’s opinion and cannot be deemed responsible for any losses incurred.
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| Posted by at 2:04:49 PM |
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